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Forecasting | Interview with Liz AlexanderCurrently she is:
* Senior Associate, MIGHT (Malaysian Industry-Government Group for High Technology), drawing on her international experience in foresight and futures thinking (having been named one of the world's top female futurists), with activities specifically related to the MyForesight Division.
* Regular Columnist, myForesight (Malaysia's national foresight magazine)
* Chief Judge and avid promoter of FameLab Malaysia.
* PREVIOUS LIFE: Author/co-author, 22 award-winning, internationally published non-fiction books.
* CURRENT LIFE: Author of the historical novel, "Lies That Blind" that will be published by Penguin Random House Q4 2021 and re-imagines what happened a few years after Captain Francis Light "founded" the island of Penang. The story centres around two key, related questions: What truth would you conveniently ignore, in order to be remembered? Do the ends always justify the means?
By Peter Thiel
If you want to build a better future, you must believe in secrets.
The great secret of our time is that there are still uncharted frontiers to explore and new inventions to create. In Zero to One, legendary entrepreneur and investor Peter Thiel shows how we can find singular ways to create those new things.
Call for Applicants - tBSC Thought Leader AwardLink to joining the competition - https://form.typeform.com/to/zhmnpax0
For years the call for New Business Models is getting stronger, louder, more clear and finds resonance. We need new business models
The economy needs it, the planet needs it, the future needs it.
Now, as a community of forward thinkers, we the Black Sheep Community, a community for New Thought Leadership
organize an event on New Business Models.
On June 15th, we organize International Black Sheep DAY 2022, around the theme of New Business Models. And we invite you, challenge you, for the tBSC New Business Models Award.
Write 1 A4 or 2 min video with your idea for a new business model, or your business model that you want to innovate
On International Black Sheep DAY 2022 we’ll hand a trophy to you
but more important: we as a community of forward thinkers will gather our Masterminds to take your Business Model to the next level.
Thiel begins with the contrarian premise that we live in an age of technological stagnation, even if we’re too distracted by shiny mobile devices to notice. Information technology has improved rapidly, but there is no reason why progress should be limited to computers or Silicon Valley. Progress can be achieved in any industry or area of business. It comes from the most important skill that every leader must master: learning to think for yourself.
Doing what someone else already knows how to do takes the world from 1 to n, adding more of something familiar. But when you do something new, you go from 0 to 1. The next Bill Gates will not build an operating system. The next Larry Page or Sergey Brin won’t make a search engine. Tomorrow’s champions will not win by competing ruthlessly in today’s marketplace. They will escape competition altogether because their businesses will be unique.
Zero to One presents at once an optimistic view of the future of progress in America and a new way of thinking about innovation: it starts by learning to ask the questions that lead you to find value in unexpected places.
The best summary I found:
“A Startup is the largest group of people you can convince of a plan to build a different future.”
– Zero to One, page 10
Zero to One: There are many different formulas for creating a successful startup, but following the formula doesn’t guarantee success. In Zero to One: Notes on Startups, or How to Build the Future by Peter Thiel you will come to understand what makes a successful startup by looking at where it fits in the grand scheme of the business landscape.
This is a book that was based upon a course Peter Thiel, co-founder of PayPal, taught at Stanford in 2012. It very much reads as if you were listening to a lecture. Peter begins by tackling the historical foundation of the.Com boom/bust, and business principles, and then moves on to real-life case studies and business theory. This book takes a very academic approach to discussing startups as they fit or don’t fit into the greater business and financial landscape.
Zero to One provides its readers with a very different perspective on startups; one that is grounded in solid business and financial methodologies as well as history. It seeks to show you how to be a successful entrepreneur not with a formula, but with:
- an inherent understanding of how business is conducted,
- how consumers purchase, and
- from a fundamental business perspective why some startups are able to achieve great success, while other similar competitors fail.
It is by no means a quick read, but one that you take time-ingesting and ponder. This is not a typical quick bullet-style business book, but rather an in-depth study of the business ecosystem and where/how startups fit into it.
Startups Inherently Question Business Norms
“…that is what a startup has to do: question received ideas and rethink business from scratch.”
– Zero to One, page 11
Zero to One: There is a lot of mystery and romance around working for or owning a startup. Why do some work when they seem to bunk conventional business wisdom, why do others fail when all success indicators seem perfect?
According to Peter if you understand the true business nature of startups by understanding where they lie within the grand scheme of all business, then you very clearly start to understand the why around which ones succeed and which ones fail.
In this case, it’s understanding that a successful startup inherently isn’t going to conduct business as normal. It’s going to inherently rework standard norms and create a solution or product that goes against the grain.
That thought is a touch deceiving, but here is a perfect example to bring it to life. Uber. Who would have thought that the world needed any more hired drivers? Taxis and limos have been serving us all just fine for quite some time. Why would you think starting Uber would be a good idea?
The founders of Uber didn’t buy into the conventional wisdom that the hired driver industry in its long-standing format was the only way to do business. They saw a need for an on-demand service that could be driven (no pun intended) by your smartphone, and provide people with the luxury of a limo service for cheaper than a taxi fare. They also reinvented how the drivers were hired, paid, and did their jobs.
Overall, a perfect example of ignoring doing business the standard way but instead “rethinking business from scratch.”
Find Your Secret, Find Your Success
“The best entrepreneurs know this: every great business is built around a secret that’s hidden from the outside. A great company is a conspiracy to change the world; when you share your secret the recipient becomes a fellow conspirator.”
– Zero to One, page 106
Zero to One: If inherently startups are meant to rethink business from scratch, practically how do you do that? According to Peter Thiel, it’s contingent upon you discovering your own secret. Secrets can be:
- natural – those you find in our physical world
- people – those behaviors, likes, and dislikes that people have but may not want to share.
Discovering natural secrets are much harder to uncover, but Peter certainly doesn’t want to discourage people from looking. Creating a business shouldn’t be about making a quick buck, but rather about creating something that you are interested in and passionate about.
People’s secrets are a little bit easier to discover because they involve observing human nature.
An example would be Airbnb. The people’s secret was twofold:
People didn’t want to be forced to pay high hotel rates
People who wanted to rent their room had a hard time doing so reliably and safely
Voila, Airbnb! There is a little more to it, but it began because the founders saw a behavioral desire for both customers and homeowners.
Finding your secret can be as simple as observing human behavior/desires and finding a way to deliver a product/service that fits it.
A Good Culture is Inherent to the Mission
“…no company has a culture; every company is a culture.”
– Zero to One, page 119
There are a lot of talks these days about how to create the perfect company culture. This book discusses that shouldn’t be so much a concern, because it’s tied directly to the mission of the company.
If you hire a team that is bought in and committed to the mission the startup is espousing then the culture is built in. People who work for startups are a special breed; they are risk-takers, they are good at working in and amongst uncertainty, and most of all they are cause-driven.
It all goes back to what a successful startup is: “…the largest group of people you can convince of a plan to build a different future.”
The key to creating that culture according to Peter Thiel is in finding and hiring like-minded people. Like-minded in the way they are committed to what the company is trying to achieve.
A startup that wants to be successful has to embody what a team really is. A group of unique people that work together, not because they are nice or saints, but because they all believe in a greater cause—the company mission.
A successful startup is successful because of a gimmick or cool new marketing strategy they gambled on and won. A successful startup is so because:
- It’s addressing a need/desire that has not been addressed/fulfilled
- It’s fundamentally rooted in a mission that everyone in the company believes in and works towards
Peter Thiel shows readers how to create or be a part of a successful startup by understanding the business essentials and illustrating how they can be properly executed. If you’re looking for a new-fangled gimmick or advertising strategy to try, this is not the book for you. If you want a Masters’s class on how to properly build/run a business this is the book for you.
What secrets are your products/services addressing?
Publisher: Currency; Illustrated edition (September 16, 2014)
Hardcover: 224 pages
#6 in Economic Policy
#6 in Economic Policy & Development (Books)
Customer Reviews: 4.6 out of 5 stars 9,239 ratings
Amazon category: Books › Business & Money › Finance